What’s actually happening with home values in Dallas-Fort Worth — and what do the latest numbers show for Collin and Denton counties?
Snippet Answer:
While headlines suggest prices are falling, local MLS data shows that home values in Collin and Denton counties remain significantly higher than they were five years ago. Real estate is a long-term investment, and hyper-local market trends matter more than broad averages.
Are Home Values Really Dropping in DFW? Here’s What the Data Says
What’s actually happening with home values in Dallas-Fort Worth — and what do the latest numbers show for Collin and Denton counties?
While some headlines claim home prices are dropping, the truth is more nuanced. Yes, prices have cooled from the pandemic-era peak, but values are still up significantly compared to five or even three years ago. Real estate is a long-term investment, and what matters most is your hyper-local market.
What the Headlines Are Saying
A recent WFAA article reports that about 87% of homes in the Dallas-Fort Worth area have declined in value compared to their peak, with an average drop of 11% year-over-year. That headline might sound alarming—but it doesn’t tell the whole story.
Metro-wide data, like what Redfin shows for Fort Worth, indicates a median home price of $325,000 in October 2025, down just 2.5% from the previous year. This kind of broad-scope data can create panic without context. Let’s zoom into our actual neighborhoods: Collin and Denton counties.
The Reality in Collin and Denton Counties
Let’s look at the past nine years of MLS data for both counties:
- Collin County: The median home price rose from $300,393 in 2016 to $525,000 in 2022 before a slight dip to $499,000 in 2024. That’s still a 66% increase over 8 years.
- Denton County: Prices jumped from $271,000 in 2016 to $475,000 in 2022, softening to $450,000 in 2024. That’s a 66% increase as well.
So yes, there’s been a minor correction since the peak, but long-term homeowners have still gained substantial equity. This isn’t a collapse—it’s a market normalization.
Interpreting the Trends
Housing markets don’t move in straight lines. After a historic run-up in values from 2020 to 2022, some softening was expected. Rising interest rates cooled buyer demand and created pricing pushback.
However, the real takeaway is this: if you bought 5+ years ago, your home has likely appreciated significantly. If you’re buying now, you may have more room to negotiate. And if you’re selling, strategic pricing and preparation are more important than ever.
Why Hyper-Local Data Matters
The term “DFW market” is almost too broad to be useful. Each city, each neighborhood—even specific subdivisions—behave differently. That’s why working with professionals who know Collin and Denton counties is key.
The Kaitlin Lovern Real Estate Team tracks hyper-local data to give our clients actionable advice. Whether you’re wondering what your home is worth or deciding when to make a move, local context is everything.
Final Takeaway
The headlines might say prices are dropping—but the deeper story is that home values in Collin and Denton counties remain well above where they were just a few years ago. Real estate is a long-term game, and your specific market matters more than national averages.
Want to know how your home value is holding up?
Contact the Kaitlin Lovern Real Estate Team today to get a personalized market report and expert advice for your neighborhood.
